FC Wil vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
7º
5º
61
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
WIL
28%
25%
46%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
YOB
1 - 3
WIL
79%
14%
8%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 0
ASV
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SCB
1 - 5
WIL
16%
19%
65%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 1
WIL
29%
24%
47%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 3
THU
26%
24%
49%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
YOB
1 - 0
FCA
77%
14%
9%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
LUG
0 - 1
FCA
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
FCA
3 - 3
KRI
69%
18%
13%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
OLT
0 - 5
FCA
4%
9%
87%
|
67 | 21 | 46 | 0 |