FC Wil vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
WIN
1 - 2
WIL
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
WIL
0 - 4
ZUR
16%
19%
65%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
STG
2 - 1
WIL
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
FCL
3 - 0
WIL
67%
20%
12%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
WIL
4 - 0
LAU
40%
24%
36%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
FCA
1 - 1
WOH
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
FCA
4 - 2
ALT
32%
24%
44%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
ZUR
3 - 0
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
FCA
3 - 2
THU
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
STG
5 - 1
FCA
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |