Challenge League Round 9

FC Wil vs Aarau analysis

FC Wil Aarau
63 ELO 58
1.4% Tilt 2.6%
1175º General ELO ranking 744º
18º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
52.7%
FC Wil
23.9%
Draw
23.5%
Aarau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
FC Wil
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.5%
Win probability
Aarau
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Wil
+3%
+6%
Aarau

ELO progression

FC Wil
Aarau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Wil
FC Wil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2011
WIN
Winterthur
1 - 4
FC Wil
WIL
36%
26%
37%
62 55 7 0
17 Sep. 2011
FCR
Renens
1 - 4
FC Wil
WIL
13%
19%
68%
62 19 43 0
10 Sep. 2011
WIL
FC Wil
2 - 0
Etoile Carouge
ETO
70%
19%
11%
62 47 15 0
27 Aug. 2011
WOH
Wohlen
2 - 2
FC Wil
WIL
46%
26%
29%
61 60 1 +1
21 Aug. 2011
WIL
FC Wil
2 - 2
St. Gallen
STG
27%
25%
48%
61 70 9 0

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2011
ETO
Etoile Carouge
0 - 2
Aarau
FCA
22%
23%
55%
59 45 14 0
17 Sep. 2011
RHN
FC Amicitia Riehen
0 - 8
Aarau
FCA
9%
16%
75%
59 10 49 0
10 Sep. 2011
FCA
Aarau
2 - 0
Wohlen
WOH
42%
26%
32%
58 60 2 +1
29 Aug. 2011
DEL
Delemont
2 - 2
Aarau
FCA
33%
25%
42%
58 50 8 0
20 Aug. 2011
FCA
Aarau
1 - 2
Chiasso
CHI
56%
24%
20%
59 56 3 -1