FC Wil vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 4
WIL
36%
26%
37%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FCR
1 - 4
WIL
13%
19%
68%
|
62 | 19 | 43 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 0
ETO
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
WOH
2 - 2
WIL
46%
26%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 2
STG
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ETO
0 - 2
FCA
22%
23%
55%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
RHN
0 - 8
FCA
9%
16%
75%
|
59 | 10 | 49 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 0
WOH
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
DEL
2 - 2
FCA
33%
25%
42%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
FCA
1 - 2
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |