FC Wil vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
BEL
8 - 0
WIL
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
WOH
0 - 0
WIL
25%
24%
51%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 1
WIL
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 1
LUG
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
LOC
2 - 3
WIL
18%
22%
60%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
BEL
8 - 0
WIL
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
WIN
0 - 2
BEL
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2013 |
BEL
0 - 0
LUG
62%
22%
17%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
FCV
1 - 2
BEL
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2013 |
FCA
0 - 1
BEL
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |