Wil II vs Bülach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12%
9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
5º
5º
49
4º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FCT
3 - 3
WIL
37%
22%
41%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WIL
4 - 2
DUB
83%
10%
7%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TAG
1 - 3
WIL
10%
14%
76%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 1
SVS
37%
21%
42%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CHU
1 - 3
WIL
43%
22%
35%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Bülach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
FCB
7 - 0
DSG
23%
20%
57%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
UST
7 - 0
FCB
64%
19%
18%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FCT
2 - 2
FCB
78%
13%
9%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCB
4 - 2
DUB
40%
22%
38%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
TAG
1 - 0
FCB
23%
20%
57%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |