Wiedenbrück vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
68.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wiedenbrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
WIE
5 - 3
BOC
50%
24%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
S04
0 - 1
WIE
43%
27%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
WIE
1 - 1
SPO
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MAI
0 - 3
WIE
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
WIE
1 - 3
BOR
28%
23%
49%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
KOL
2 - 1
S04
25%
26%
49%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
EIN
0 - 2
KOL
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
KOL
2 - 0
LEV
17%
22%
61%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
WOL
4 - 1
KOL
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
KOL
1 - 3
STU
28%
24%
48%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |