Widnau vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
50.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Widnau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
RUT
3 - 2
WID
64%
18%
18%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
WID
3 - 2
FCB
47%
21%
33%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 3
WID
68%
17%
16%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
WID
1 - 2
UZW
39%
23%
39%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
KRE
3 - 3
WID
80%
12%
7%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
FCB
2 - 2
LUG
25%
21%
54%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 0
UZW
65%
19%
17%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CHU
2 - 1
LUG
29%
23%
49%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
LUG
6 - 0
UZU
84%
11%
6%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
SEU
4 - 1
LUG
33%
23%
44%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |