WHC vs Go Ahead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WHC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
AFC
0 - 1
WHC
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
APE
1 - 1
WHC
41%
26%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
WHC
1 - 2
PKC
58%
22%
21%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
HAR
1 - 2
WHC
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 2
WHC
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
GOA
1 - 2
PKC
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ACV
2 - 2
GOA
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
GOA
1 - 1
GEN
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
DET
2 - 1
GOA
72%
17%
12%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
STA
2 - 0
GOA
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -2 |