Conference Premier Round 21

Weymouth vs Bashley analysis

Weymouth Bashley
45 ELO 34
15.4% Tilt 12.5%
7580º General ELO ranking 11419º
305º Country ELO ranking 651º
ELO win probability
68.9%
Weymouth
17.6%
Draw
13.5%
Bashley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
Weymouth
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.5%
Win probability
Bashley
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Weymouth
-1%
+3%
Bashley

ELO progression

Weymouth
Bashley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Weymouth
Weymouth
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Dec. 2011
HIT
Hitchin Town
3 - 1
Weymouth
WEY
32%
24%
44%
46 39 7 0
10 Dec. 2011
WEY
Weymouth
2 - 1
Chippenham Town
CHI
57%
22%
22%
45 45 0 +1
03 Dec. 2011
WEY
Weymouth
2 - 1
Leamington
LEA
45%
24%
31%
44 48 4 +1
29 Nov. 2011
HAV
Havant & Waterlooville
0 - 2
Weymouth
WEY
52%
22%
26%
43 46 3 +1
26 Nov. 2011
WEY
Weymouth
0 - 0
Havant & Waterlooville
HAV
50%
23%
27%
43 46 3 0

Matches

Bashley
Bashley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 2011
BAS
Bashley
0 - 2
Oxford City
OXF
37%
25%
39%
36 41 5 0
03 Dec. 2011
BAN
Banbury United
4 - 0
Bashley
BAS
41%
25%
35%
38 37 1 -2
26 Nov. 2011
BAS
Bashley
3 - 3
Bedford Town
BED
70%
18%
12%
38 27 11 0
19 Nov. 2011
HEM
Hemel Hempstead Town
2 - 2
Bashley
BAS
37%
25%
39%
38 35 3 0
12 Nov. 2011
BRA
Brackley Town
3 - 2
Bashley
BAS
62%
21%
17%
39 47 8 -1