West Virginia Chaos vs Derby City Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Virginia Chaos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
KWU
4 - 0
WES
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
WES
0 - 3
MIC
9%
18%
74%
|
31 | 61 | 30 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
WES
0 - 1
DAY
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
WES
1 - 0
TRI
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
WES
4 - 1
DAY
33%
24%
43%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Derby City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 3
CIN
52%
21%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
NSC
2 - 1
RIV
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 0
MIC
12%
18%
70%
|
30 | 61 | 31 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 1
KWU
12%
19%
69%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 1
DAY
52%
20%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |