Welzenegg vs Ferlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
51.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welzenegg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
BLE
10 - 1
WEL
60%
21%
19%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
WEL
1 - 3
VOL
35%
24%
41%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
TRE
1 - 1
WEL
68%
19%
14%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2013 |
VEI
4 - 1
WEL
80%
13%
7%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
RUD
1 - 2
WEL
33%
24%
43%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
FLC
0 - 0
KMD
51%
22%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
FLC
1 - 4
WOL
44%
23%
33%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
RAP
1 - 1
FLC
26%
23%
51%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
STE
5 - 2
FLC
27%
23%
50%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
FLC
4 - 1
DRA
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |