Wellington Phoenix vs North Queensland Fury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
WPH
3 - 1
BRI
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2009 |
CCM
0 - 2
WPH
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2009 |
ADE
1 - 1
WPH
48%
26%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
WPH
0 - 1
SYD
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
WPH
1 - 1
MEL
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
North Queensland Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
CCM
1 - 1
NOR
53%
26%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 0
MEL
31%
27%
43%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
NEW
3 - 2
NOR
54%
26%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
BRI
2 - 0
NOR
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 0
PER
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |