Wellington Olympic vs Waterside Karori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.3%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
2º
1º
18
6º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 2
NWA
86%
10%
5%
|
50 | 17 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
MIR
0 - 7
WEL
20%
19%
61%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
WEL
9 - 3
WAF
82%
11%
7%
|
50 | 12 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
WSU
2 - 5
WEL
12%
17%
72%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
WEL
6 - 3
NAP
81%
12%
7%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
WKA
1 - 0
WSU
31%
21%
48%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
WKA
1 - 3
WEL
12%
15%
73%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TAW
0 - 2
WKA
15%
16%
69%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
WKA
3 - 1
WAF
91%
7%
3%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
PET
2 - 2
WKA
39%
21%
40%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |