Wellington Olympic vs Stop Out analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.8%
3.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
2º
1º
21
4º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
NWA
0 - 5
WEL
7%
12%
81%
|
48 | 13 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 3
EAS
64%
19%
18%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
PET
4 - 0
WEL
7%
13%
81%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 2
WEL
68%
18%
15%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
PET
0 - 5
WEL
6%
10%
85%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Stop Out
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
STO
3 - 3
WEL
8%
13%
79%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
STO
2 - 1
PET
34%
21%
46%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
WAF
1 - 3
STO
10%
14%
76%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
STO
1 - 4
WKA
25%
20%
56%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
STO
4 - 2
MIR
10%
13%
77%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | +3 |