Wellen vs Heur Tongeren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
BIL
1 - 1
WEL
49%
24%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
WEL
3 - 2
LEO
45%
25%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
HOE
1 - 1
WEL
20%
23%
57%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
WEL
4 - 1
DIE
45%
24%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
STE
0 - 3
WEL
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Heur Tongeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
HET
1 - 1
HOU
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
DIE
1 - 3
HET
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
KAM
2 - 3
HET
22%
20%
58%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
HET
1 - 2
WOL
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 0
HET
54%
22%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |