Weiz vs TSV Hartberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.6%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.9%
85.4%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19%
0-4
9.2%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.5%
0-5
5.7%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
7.9%
0-6
3%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.9%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.7%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Weiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
GUR
2 - 1
WEI
62%
21%
18%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
WEI
3 - 4
TBG
45%
23%
32%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
WEI
2 - 0
ALL
40%
23%
37%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
SPI
2 - 0
WEI
11%
16%
73%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
WEI
0 - 1
STU
40%
23%
37%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
TSV Hartberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
PIN
3 - 4
HAR
2%
8%
90%
|
73 | 28 | 45 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
HAR
0 - 3
AUS
32%
24%
44%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
SKN
0 - 1
HAR
26%
24%
51%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
HAR
2 - 0
AWM
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
AUS
3 - 1
HAR
53%
22%
25%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |