Oberliga Bayern North Round 14

Weiden vs TSV Abtswind analysis

Weiden TSV Abtswind
27 ELO 25
8.2% Tilt 3%
5235º General ELO ranking 5494º
259º Country ELO ranking 274º
ELO win probability
60.2%
Weiden
19.7%
Draw
20.1%
TSV Abtswind

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
Weiden
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20.1%
Win probability
TSV Abtswind
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Weiden
-13%
-56%
TSV Abtswind

Points and table prediction

Weiden
Their league position
TSV Abtswind
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
18º
17º
64
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Eintracht Bamberg
78
78
100%
DJK Gebenbach
72
72
100%
Eltersdorf
71
71
100%
TSV Abtswind
64
64
100%
SV Donaustauf
61
61
100%
Ammerthal
53
53
100%
ASV Cham
49
49
100%
Jahn Regensburg II
47
47
100%
TSV Kornburg
46
46
100%
Würzburger FV
10º
45
45
10º
100%
ASV Neumarkt
11º
44
44
11º
100%
ATSV Erlangen
12º
41
41
12º
0%
Feucht SC
13º
41
41
13º
0%
DJK Bamberg
14º
36
36
14º
100%
Bayern Hof
15º
35
35
15º
100%
Grossbardorf
16º
34
34
16º
100%
Weiden
17º
28
28
17º
100%
1.FC Geesdorf
18º
12
12
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Weiden
TSV Abtswind
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Weiden
TSV Abtswind
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Weiden
Weiden
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2022
BAY
Bayern Hof
2 - 1
Weiden
WEI
21%
21%
59%
28 19 9 0
17 Sep. 2022
WEI
Weiden
4 - 1
DJK Bamberg
DJJ
57%
21%
22%
27 26 1 +1
09 Sep. 2022
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
4 - 1
Weiden
WEI
48%
23%
30%
28 29 1 -1
02 Sep. 2022
WEI
Weiden
2 - 2
Eintracht Bamberg
EIN
33%
23%
44%
28 34 6 0
27 Aug. 2022
WUR
Würzburger FV
2 - 1
Weiden
WEI
28%
22%
50%
29 21 8 -1

Matches

TSV Abtswind
TSV Abtswind
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2022
TSV
TSV Abtswind
1 - 1
Ammerthal
AMM
29%
22%
49%
24 29 5 0
17 Sep. 2022
GRO
Grossbardorf
0 - 1
TSV Abtswind
TSV
56%
21%
23%
23 25 2 +1
10 Sep. 2022
TSV
TSV Abtswind
1 - 1
Feucht SC
FEU
28%
22%
50%
23 30 7 0
02 Sep. 2022
TSV
TSV Abtswind
2 - 4
DJK Gebenbach
DJK
30%
22%
48%
24 29 5 -1
27 Aug. 2022
BAY
Bayern Hof
0 - 2
TSV Abtswind
TSV
22%
22%
57%
23 16 7 +1