Weiden vs Selbitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
9.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Weiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ERB
2 - 0
WEI
17%
20%
62%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
WEI
5 - 1
NEU
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
WEI
2 - 1
AUB
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
ELT
2 - 0
WEI
32%
22%
46%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
WEI
0 - 0
AMB
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Selbitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SEL
0 - 3
NEU
51%
22%
27%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
SEL
0 - 1
JRE
30%
24%
46%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
JFO
3 - 0
SEL
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SEL
0 - 3
GRO
24%
22%
55%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
AMM
2 - 0
SEL
38%
23%
39%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |