Weiden vs ASV Neumarkt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
1º
10º
8º
4
5º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
9 | 66 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 61 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 58 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 58 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 55 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 52 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 50 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
|
6º
|
5 | 47 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 47 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 46 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 42 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 41 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 38 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 38 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 29 |
15º
|
41.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 15 |
16º
|
47% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 13 |
17º
|
57.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 55% |
|
Relegation
|
10.5% | 45% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Weiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
WEI
0 - 1
NEU
57%
21%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
ING
0 - 3
WEI
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
TSK
0 - 4
WEI
13%
21%
67%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
WEI
1 - 0
TSV
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
ASV
4 - 0
WEI
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
ASV Neumarkt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
REG
3 - 1
NEU
76%
14%
9%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
WUR
3 - 2
NEU
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
NEU
0 - 3
DJK
47%
23%
30%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
KOR
3 - 0
NEU
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
TSK
0 - 0
NEU
11%
19%
70%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |