Oberliga Bayern Nord. Jor. 24

Weiden vs Jahn Regensburg II analysis

Weiden Jahn Regensburg II
21 ELO 26
15% Tilt 5.9%
7651º General ELO ranking 7046º
312º Country ELO ranking 282º
ELO win probability
32.1%
Weiden
21.4%
Draw
46.4%
Jahn Regensburg II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
Weiden
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
46.4%
Win probability
Jahn Regensburg II
2
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Weiden
+64%
-7%
Jahn Regensburg II

Points and table prediction

Weiden
Their league position
Jahn Regensburg II
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
18º
17º
47
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Eintracht Bamberg
78
78
100%
DJK Gebenbach
72
72
100%
Eltersdorf
71
71
100%
TSV Abtswind
64
64
100%
SV Donaustauf
61
61
100%
Ammerthal
53
53
100%
ASV Cham
49
49
100%
Jahn Regensburg II
47
47
100%
TSV Kornburg
46
46
100%
Würzburger FV
10º
45
45
10º
100%
ASV Neumarkt
11º
44
44
11º
100%
ATSV Erlangen
12º
41
41
12º
0%
Feucht SC
13º
41
41
13º
0%
DJK Bamberg
14º
36
36
14º
100%
Bayern Hof
15º
35
35
15º
100%
Grossbardorf
16º
34
34
16º
100%
Weiden
17º
28
28
17º
100%
1.FC Geesdorf
18º
12
12
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Weiden
Jahn Regensburg II
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Weiden
Jahn Regensburg II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Weiden
Weiden
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2023
FCG
1.FC Geesdorf
0 - 5
Weiden
WEI
38%
21%
40%
19 17 2 0
04 Mar. 2023
WEI
Weiden
1 - 2
TSV Kornburg
KOR
39%
22%
39%
20 24 4 -1
04 Feb. 2023
WEI
Weiden
0 - 8
Vilzing
VIL
13%
18%
70%
19 39 20 +1
28 Jan. 2023
WEI
Weiden
2 - 3
Hankofen-Hailing
HAH
22%
23%
55%
20 34 14 -1
03 Dec. 2022
ASV
ASV Cham
3 - 1
Weiden
WEI
54%
22%
25%
20 24 4 0

Matches

Jahn Regensburg II
Jahn Regensburg II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2023
JRE
Jahn Regensburg II
2 - 2
Ammerthal
AMM
44%
22%
34%
26 26 0 0
04 Mar. 2023
GRO
Grossbardorf
1 - 4
Jahn Regensburg II
JRE
40%
22%
37%
24 23 1 +2
25 Feb. 2023
TSV
TSV Abtswind
1 - 1
Jahn Regensburg II
JRE
60%
20%
21%
23 29 6 +1
04 Feb. 2023
JRE
Jahn Regensburg II
2 - 1
Hankofen-Hailing
HAH
23%
23%
54%
22 34 12 +1
26 Nov. 2022
JRE
Jahn Regensburg II
2 - 2
Feucht SC
FEU
47%
22%
31%
22 22 0 0
X