National League round 41

Wealdstone vs Forest Green Rovers analysis

Wealdstone Forest Green Rovers
49 ELO 56
5% Tilt 6.1%
5136º General ELO ranking 3261º
163º Country ELO ranking 85º
ELO win probability
28.6%
Wealdstone
25.4%
Draw
46%
Forest Green Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
Wealdstone
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
46%
Win probability
Forest Green Rovers
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Wealdstone
+14%
-8%
Forest Green Rovers

Points and table prediction

Wealdstone
Their league position
Forest Green Rovers
CURR.POS.
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
16º
23º
20º
83
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Barnet
102
102
100%
York City
96
96
100%
Forest Green Rovers
83
83
100%
Rochdale
74
74
100%
Oldham Athletic AFC
73
73
100%
FC Halifax Town
70
70
100%
Southend United
68
68
100%
Gateshead
67
67
100%
Altrincham
64
64
100%
Tamworth
10º
64
64
10º
100%
Hartlepool United
11º
60
60
11º
0%
Sutton United
12º
60
60
12º
0%
Eastleigh
13º
59
59
13º
100%
Solihull Moors
14º
58
58
14º
100%
Woking
15º
58
58
15º
100%
Aldershot Town
16º
57
57
16º
100%
Braintree Town
17º
56
56
17º
100%
Yeovil Town
18º
56
56
18º
100%
Boston United
19º
55
55
19º
100%
Wealdstone
20º
53
53
20º
100%
Dagenham & Redbridge
21º
52
52
21º
0%
Maidenhead United
22º
52
52
22º
0%
Fylde
23º
40
40
23º
100%
Ebbsfleet United
24º
22
22
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Wealdstone
Forest Green Rovers
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Wealdstone
Forest Green Rovers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wealdstone
Wealdstone
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2025
WEA
Wealdstone
1 - 0
Boston United
BOS
34%
25%
41%
47 53 6 0
29 Mar. 2025
YOR
York City
3 - 0
Wealdstone
WEA
67%
20%
13%
47 58 11 0
25 Mar. 2025
WEA
Wealdstone
1 - 3
Aldershot Town
ALD
26%
24%
50%
48 55 7 -1
22 Mar. 2025
WEA
Wealdstone
1 - 0
Woking
WOK
41%
25%
33%
47 50 3 +1
18 Mar. 2025
ALT
Altrincham
0 - 1
Wealdstone
WEA
65%
20%
16%
45 54 9 +2

Matches

Forest Green Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2025
FOR
Forest Green Rovers
1 - 0
Solihull Moors
SOL
59%
23%
18%
56 48 8 0
22 Mar. 2025
FYL
Fylde
3 - 0
Forest Green Rovers
FOR
23%
24%
53%
57 42 15 -1
15 Mar. 2025
FOR
Forest Green Rovers
2 - 2
Southend United
SOU
47%
27%
26%
57 55 2 0
11 Mar. 2025
FOR
Forest Green Rovers
2 - 1
Sutton United
SUT
48%
25%
26%
56 53 3 +1
08 Mar. 2025
YOR
York City
1 - 1
Forest Green Rovers
FOR
47%
25%
28%
57 57 0 -1