Wealdstone vs AFC Hornchurch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wealdstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
HEN
2 - 3
WEA
42%
25%
34%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 1
WEA
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
WEA
2 - 4
WAL
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
CAR
4 - 2
WEA
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CAN
1 - 1
WEA
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
HOR
1 - 0
MAR
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CRA
1 - 0
HOR
36%
26%
39%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
HOR
2 - 2
CAR
49%
24%
26%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
HOR
0 - 0
BIL
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
HAR
0 - 0
HOR
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |