WBC vs Transvaal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
WBC
2 - 1
NOT
57%
22%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
INT
4 - 2
WBC
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
WBC
2 - 0
TAK
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -7 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
WBC
3 - 2
RHO
54%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +7 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
NIS
1 - 0
WBC
35%
21%
44%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Transvaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TRA
2 - 3
EXC
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
TAK
2 - 3
TRA
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
NIS
3 - 3
TRA
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -9 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TRA
2 - 1
INT
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +9 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 2
TRA
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |