WBC vs Transvaal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
WBC
2 - 1
NOT
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
WBC
1 - 0
TAK
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
WBC
1 - 0
VIC
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 4
WBC
44%
22%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
INT
3 - 1
WBC
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Transvaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 0
TRA
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
TRA
1 - 1
BOM
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
TRA
4 - 3
TAK
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
VIC
0 - 1
TRA
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
TRA
1 - 3
NOT
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |