Waterside Karori vs Petone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
8.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
WUF
4 - 2
WKA
37%
22%
41%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
WKA
1 - 2
NWA
65%
17%
18%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
HNW
2 - 2
WKA
51%
21%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
WKA
0 - 4
MIR
7%
11%
82%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
WKA
1 - 3
WSU
36%
21%
42%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
PET
2 - 2
NAP
9%
13%
77%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
WEL
5 - 0
PET
92%
6%
2%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
PET
0 - 3
WEL
4%
11%
84%
|
17 | 51 | 34 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
PET
1 - 0
WUF
17%
18%
65%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
PET
2 - 4
NAP
12%
15%
73%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |