Waterloo vs Niagara United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterloo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 1
WAT
41%
25%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
WAT
3 - 4
BUR
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
LON
5 - 2
WAT
31%
22%
47%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2014 |
WAT
0 - 4
SER
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
SER
1 - 2
WAT
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Niagara United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
NIA
0 - 4
KIN
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
SHO
2 - 1
NIA
69%
20%
12%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
NIA
0 - 2
AST
22%
26%
52%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
NIA
1 - 1
BUR
44%
25%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2014 |
LON
0 - 6
NIA
60%
20%
20%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |