Waterhouse vs Sporting Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
WAT
2 - 2
HAR
39%
27%
35%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
BOY
2 - 0
WAT
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
WAT
0 - 1
POR
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2009 |
WAT
0 - 0
REN
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
TRI
0 - 2
WAT
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 2
TRI
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
HAR
0 - 1
SPO
62%
24%
14%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 1
BOY
37%
28%
36%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SPO
4 - 0
VIL
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
POR
1 - 0
SPO
63%
24%
13%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |