Waterhouse vs Boys' Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
ARN
0 - 1
WAT
46%
28%
27%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2013 |
HAR
2 - 0
WAT
45%
30%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
WAT
1 - 0
TRI
55%
26%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
BOY
0 - 1
WAT
48%
28%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
WAT
3 - 0
POR
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +2 |