Warrior Valga vs FC TVMK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
72.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warrior Valga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2004 |
TUL
2 - 1
WAR
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
WAR
5 - 1
LOT
60%
21%
20%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2004 |
LOT
0 - 2
WAR
55%
22%
22%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2004 |
WAR
3 - 3
TUL
33%
23%
44%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2004 |
TVM
3 - 1
WAR
92%
6%
2%
|
44 | 76 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
FC TVMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2004 |
TVM
1 - 2
IAA
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
TVM
2 - 0
TRA
77%
14%
9%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2004 |
TVM
1 - 3
TAR
80%
13%
7%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2004 |
IAA
4 - 2
TVM
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
TAR
1 - 5
TVM
24%
25%
51%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |