Third Division ACFF Round 15

Warnant vs Ganshoren analysis

Warnant Ganshoren
54 ELO 44
4% Tilt -2.7%
23868º General ELO ranking 4122º
453º Country ELO ranking 87º
ELO win probability
72.6%
Warnant
17%
Draw
10.4%
Ganshoren

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
Warnant
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.4%
Win probability
Ganshoren
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Warnant
Their league position
Ganshoren
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
44
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Warnant
72
73
100%
Union Namur
59
62
79%
La Louvière Centre
56
62
60%
Tubize
58
59
44.5%
Meux
56
57
74%
Binche
55
55
100%
Verlaine
51
51
30.5%
Rebecq
50
51
31%
Stockay-Warfusée
50
51
30.5%
Stade Disonais
10º
47
48
10º
54%
Hamoir
11º
45
46
11º
65.5%
Ganshoren
12º
44
44
12º
0%
Acren Lessines
13º
44
44
13º
0%
Union Saint-Gilloise II
14º
38
38
14º
100%
Jette
15º
32
32
15º
91.5%
Solières Sport
16º
31
31
16º
91.5%
Seraing B
17º
24
25
17º
100%
Waremme
18º
19
19
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Warnant
Ganshoren
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Possible next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Warnant
Ganshoren
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Warnant
Warnant
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2022
TUB
Tubize
2 - 0
Warnant
WAR
35%
26%
39%
56 50 6 0
20 Nov. 2022
WAR
Warnant
3 - 2
Waremme
WAR
84%
12%
4%
56 33 23 0
13 Nov. 2022
WAR
Warnant
3 - 1
Rebecq
REB
63%
21%
16%
55 45 10 +1
06 Nov. 2022
VER
Verlaine
0 - 2
Warnant
WAR
20%
23%
57%
55 43 12 0
30 Oct. 2022
WAR
Warnant
1 - 0
Stockay-Warfusée
STO
81%
13%
6%
54 36 18 +1

Matches

Ganshoren
Ganshoren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2022
GAN
Ganshoren
0 - 2
Hamoir
HAM
34%
24%
43%
45 47 2 0
19 Nov. 2022
MEU
Meux
3 - 0
Ganshoren
GAN
66%
19%
16%
46 51 5 -1
13 Nov. 2022
GAN
Ganshoren
3 - 0
Stade Disonais
STA
47%
25%
28%
45 44 1 +1
06 Nov. 2022
GAN
Ganshoren
2 - 4
Tubize
TUB
34%
26%
41%
46 50 4 -1
30 Oct. 2022
SGI
Union Saint-Gilloise II
0 - 5
Ganshoren
GAN
36%
25%
40%
44 40 4 +2