Third Division ACFF Round 34

Warnant vs La Calamine analysis

Warnant La Calamine
56 ELO 49
-0.7% Tilt -9.7%
23296º General ELO ranking 4022º
401º Country ELO ranking 81º
ELO win probability
59.8%
Warnant
22%
Draw
18.2%
La Calamine

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
Warnant
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.2%
Win probability
La Calamine
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Warnant
Their league position
La Calamine
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
17º
45
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
RAEC Mons
85
85
100%
Tubize
66
66
33%
Union Rochefortoise
66
66
33%
Tournai
63
63
100%
Binche
54
54
100%
Warnant
49
49
51%
Meux
47
48
24.5%
Stockay-Warfusée
47
47
72%
La Louvière Centre
10º
44
45
30.5%
La Calamine
45
45
10º
62%
Union Saint-Gilloise II
11º
40
41
11º
53%
Verviers
13º
38
41
12º
28.5%
Verlaine
12º
40
40
13º
45%
Ganshoren
14º
36
37
14º
73%
Jette
15º
35
36
15º
70.5%
Acren Lessines
16º
33
34
16º
86.5%
Hamoir
17º
23
23
17º
100%
Rebecq
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Warnant
La Calamine
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Warnant
La Calamine
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Warnant
Warnant
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2024
MEU
Meux
5 - 0
Warnant
WAR
48%
25%
27%
57 55 2 0
28 Apr. 2024
WAR
Warnant
1 - 0
Stockay-Warfusée
STO
62%
21%
16%
57 49 8 0
20 Apr. 2024
VER
Verlaine
0 - 2
Warnant
WAR
28%
27%
45%
56 46 10 +1
14 Apr. 2024
WAR
Warnant
0 - 0
Union Saint-Gilloise II
SGI
58%
23%
20%
56 49 7 0
06 Apr. 2024
VER
Verviers
1 - 3
Warnant
WAR
60%
23%
17%
54 61 7 +2

Matches

La Calamine
La Calamine
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2024
LAC
La Calamine
2 - 1
Union Rochefortoise
ROC
21%
24%
55%
47 58 11 0
27 Apr. 2024
LAL
La Louvière Centre
1 - 0
La Calamine
LAC
53%
22%
25%
48 50 2 -1
20 Apr. 2024
LAC
La Calamine
3 - 1
Rebecq
REB
51%
23%
26%
47 44 3 +1
14 Apr. 2024
HAM
Hamoir
0 - 3
La Calamine
LAC
32%
24%
44%
45 40 5 +2
06 Apr. 2024
LAC
La Calamine
1 - 3
RAEC Mons
GEN
16%
24%
60%
46 62 16 -1