Ware vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
23%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
YEL
3 - 2
WAR
56%
22%
23%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 2
WAR
40%
23%
37%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
WAR
3 - 2
THA
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 1
WAR
26%
24%
51%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
WAR
1 - 2
CHE
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
WRO
0 - 1
TIL
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
TIL
1 - 0
CHA
58%
23%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 2
TIL
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
TIL
1 - 0
ROM
43%
24%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
THA
2 - 1
TIL
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |