Ware vs Chalfont St Peter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
WAR
5 - 1
LEI
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
WAR
2 - 1
FCR
73%
15%
12%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 1
WAR
14%
18%
69%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
WAR
1 - 1
FCR
84%
11%
6%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
FCR
3 - 3
WAR
14%
17%
70%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Chalfont St Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CHI
2 - 0
CHA
44%
22%
34%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
CHA
3 - 2
CHI
59%
22%
20%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
CHA
56%
23%
22%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
SHR
0 - 2
CHA
12%
17%
71%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 1
BED
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |