Ware vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
37.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2007 |
WAR
2 - 0
ILF
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
WAL
3 - 0
WAR
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2007 |
WAR
5 - 0
FLA
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
WAR
1 - 3
WAL
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2007 |
WAR
1 - 0
HAR
31%
27%
42%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2007 |
YEL
2 - 1
ENF
63%
21%
17%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
YEL
1 - 1
ENF
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2007 |
RED
0 - 1
YEL
29%
25%
47%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
HOR
2 - 1
YEL
72%
18%
11%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
YEL
1 - 1
WHI
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |