Wanchai vs Citizen AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
69.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wanchai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
PFC
6 - 1
WAN
85%
11%
4%
|
31 | 65 | 34 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
KWU
0 - 1
WAN
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MGS
0 - 1
WAN
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
WAN
0 - 5
WTP
8%
15%
77%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAA
5 - 3
WAN
83%
12%
5%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAA
1 - 1
WIN
58%
21%
21%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LUC
1 - 4
CAA
21%
22%
57%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
HON
0 - 0
CAA
49%
23%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAA
5 - 3
WAN
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CAA
3 - 1
KWA
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |