Wanaka vs Cashmere Technical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
7%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
12.9%
75.9%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
4.1%
3-5
1.1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
6.5%
2-5
2.7%
3-6
0.6%
4-7
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
4.2%
2-6
1.5%
3-7
0.3%
4-8
0%
-4
11.1%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
2.3%
2-7
0.7%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
-5
6.4%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
1.1%
2-8
0.3%
3-9
0%
-6
3.2%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
3-10
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
5º
8º
8º
35
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 42 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 41 |
2º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 38 |
3º
|
87% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 30 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
61% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 22 |
7º
|
67% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 19 |
8º
|
76% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
91.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 3 |
10º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 91% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wanaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
DUN
1 - 0
WNK
23%
19%
58%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
WNK
1 - 0
UOC
86%
9%
5%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
DUN
4 - 1
WNK
25%
19%
56%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WNK
4 - 1
WEA
78%
13%
9%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ROW
5 - 2
WNK
47%
21%
32%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cashmere Technical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CAS
4 - 2
COA
72%
15%
13%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
SUF
1 - 5
CAS
4%
9%
87%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
BIR
46%
20%
34%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
EAS
53%
20%
27%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
WES
4 - 3
CAS
50%
20%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |