Walter Ormeño vs Defensor San Alejandro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ormeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ACR
0 - 3
WAL
24%
26%
51%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
WAL
1 - 1
SBO
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LOS
1 - 0
WAL
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
WAL
4 - 1
LOS
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ALF
3 - 0
WAL
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor San Alejandro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 3
LOS
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
MUN
2 - 1
DEF
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 1
SPO
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 3
DEF
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
DEF
5 - 1
AUN
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |