Waitakere United vs Canterbury United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
MAG
1 - 1
WAI
17%
20%
63%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
WAI
1 - 3
AUC
53%
23%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
WAI
1 - 2
AUC
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
WAI
5 - 0
TEA
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
TEA
0 - 1
WAI
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
AUC
5 - 0
CAN
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
TEA
3 - 1
CAN
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CAN
0 - 4
HAW
42%
25%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CAN
0 - 2
WAI
21%
24%
55%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
3 - 1
CAN
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |