Walthamstow vs AFC Dunstable analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
2º
17º
4º
46
1º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 73 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
|
4º
|
63 | 67 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 66 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
7º
|
58 | 62 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 62 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 59 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
52 | 58 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
53 | 56 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 51 |
12º
|
41% | |
|
|
13º
|
46 | 49 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 44 |
14º
|
41.5% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 44 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
20º
|
6 | 39 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 37 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 29 |
18º
|
68% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 27 |
19º
|
71.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
20º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
98.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walthamstow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DID
1 - 0
WAL
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
WAL
6 - 0
FCR
62%
20%
19%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
KEM
2 - 3
WAL
40%
23%
37%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
THA
0 - 1
WAL
52%
22%
26%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
WAL
2 - 3
WAL
62%
19%
19%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AFD
1 - 2
BFC
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
KEM
0 - 3
AFD
28%
23%
49%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
HER
0 - 0
AFD
25%
23%
53%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
AFD
1 - 2
THA
66%
19%
14%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
BER
4 - 0
AFD
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -2 |