Waltham Abbey vs AFC Dunstable analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
3º
14º
4º
61
3º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
48 | 48 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
87.5% | |
|
14º
|
44 | 44 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
43 | 43 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
43 | 43 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
42 | 42 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
37 | 37 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
29 | 29 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waltham Abbey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 0
BIG
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
WAR
1 - 0
WAL
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
THA
2 - 4
WAL
31%
23%
47%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
WAL
2 - 0
KID
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CIR
4 - 1
WAL
56%
21%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AFD
2 - 0
KID
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CIR
2 - 2
AFD
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
AFD
1 - 3
BED
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BIG
2 - 2
AFD
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
AFD
2 - 1
HAD
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |