Wacker Gotha vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
58.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wacker Gotha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
SAC
2 - 1
WAG
67%
20%
13%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
WAG
4 - 1
VFL
24%
24%
53%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +3 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
ROT
0 - 0
WAG
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
WAG
2 - 2
CAR
17%
21%
63%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
DYN
2 - 4
WAG
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
AUE
0 - 0
ZWI
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BDR
2 - 2
AUE
24%
25%
51%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
AUE
3 - 1
MAG
30%
25%
45%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
AUE
1 - 0
CHE
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
SAC
1 - 0
AUE
35%
27%
38%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |