W Connection vs SAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
CON
7 - 1
GUY
81%
14%
6%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
DEF
4 - 1
CON
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
POI
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
ANN
0 - 4
CON
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
NOR
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
GUY
2 - 2
SAP
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SAP
2 - 2
GRE
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2015 |
OTT
0 - 1
SAP
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2015 |
SAP
2 - 1
ORO
51%
23%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2015 |
SAP
1 - 0
PAR
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |