W Connection vs Ma Pau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
CON
2 - 1
SEN
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
DEF
2 - 1
CON
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
CON
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
JOE
0 - 0
CON
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
CON
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ma Pau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
PAU
50%
27%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
PAU
0 - 0
STA
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
PAU
1 - 1
JOE
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
PAU
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PAU
4 - 1
DEF
52%
23%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |