W Connection vs Joe Public FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
CON
2 - 0
CAL
55%
23%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2008 |
CON
2 - 0
TBU
75%
16%
10%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
UPT
1 - 1
CON
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2008 |
CON
6 - 2
ANN
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
DEF
1 - 4
CON
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
3 - 0
JOE
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2008 |
JOE
5 - 0
DEF
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
JOE
4 - 0
PAU
52%
25%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
NOR
2 - 0
JOE
48%
26%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2008 |
JOE
6 - 0
ANN
44%
26%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |