W Connection vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2016 |
CON
0 - 3
CEN
47%
24%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CON
2 - 0
ARN
26%
23%
52%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
CON
0 - 1
SAN
48%
25%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
CEN
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CON
1 - 3
NOR
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2016 |
POL
2 - 3
DEF
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 1
NOR
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
DEF
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
POI
1 - 2
DEF
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 2
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -5 |