W Connection vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CON
3 - 1
ECM
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 0
CON
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
CON
2 - 0
STA
72%
18%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
CAL
0 - 0
CON
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
CEN
0 - 3
CON
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 1
DEF
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
DEF
3 - 1
POL
74%
16%
10%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
DEF
5 - 1
CAL
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
NOR
0 - 1
DEF
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
DEF
8 - 0
STA
74%
16%
9%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |