W Connection vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+154%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2008 |
JOE
0 - 1
CON
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
PAU
0 - 5
CON
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2008 |
DEF
0 - 2
CON
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
CON
2 - 2
ANN
50%
24%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 0
CON
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2008 |
DEF
1 - 1
UPT
46%
26%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
DEF
1 - 4
ANN
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2008 |
DEF
0 - 2
CON
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2008 |
TBU
1 - 1
DEF
33%
25%
42%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2008 |
DEF
0 - 2
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |