W Connection vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+92%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
CON
3 - 0
NOR
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
CON
2 - 1
SAN
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2007 |
CAL
1 - 3
CON
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
TBU
0 - 3
CON
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
UPT
2 - 1
CON
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
SAN
0 - 0
DEF
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
DEF
1 - 0
CAL
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2007 |
UPT
2 - 2
DEF
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2007 |
DEF
0 - 3
NOR
46%
25%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
DEF
1 - 1
ANN
50%
25%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |