W Connection vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+154%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
NOR
1 - 0
CON
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
ANN
1 - 1
CON
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 1
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
CON
2 - 3
JOE
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2006 |
CAL
2 - 2
CON
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
DEF
1 - 2
ANN
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
TBU
1 - 2
DEF
30%
26%
43%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2006 |
DEF
5 - 1
STK
53%
24%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
UPT
1 - 1
DEF
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2006 |
DEF
1 - 1
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |