W Connection vs Cariocos de Majes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
5.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2000 |
CON
3 - 1
HAR
43%
25%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
EGF
3 - 3
CON
22%
22%
55%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
SSF
0 - 11
CON
19%
22%
59%
|
65 | 9 | 56 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2000 |
TRI
1 - 1
CON
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |